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<div align="center"><table class="MsoNormalTable" cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="480" border="0" style="WIDTH: 326.05pt; mso-cellspacing: .7pt; mso-padding-alt: .7pt .7pt .7pt .7pt;"><tbody><tr style="mso-yfti-irow: 0; mso-yfti-firstrow: yes;"><td width="421" style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; PADDING-RIGHT: 0.7pt; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; PADDING-LEFT: 0.7pt; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0.7pt; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; WIDTH: 285.95pt; PADDING-TOP: 0.7pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent;"><p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-ALIGN: center;"><b><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12.5pt;"><font face="宋体"><font size="4">市场预期美联储进一步降息拖累美元继续下跌<span lang="EN-US"><p></p></span></font></font></span></b></p></td><td width="56" rowspan="2" style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; PADDING-RIGHT: 0.7pt; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; PADDING-LEFT: 0.7pt; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0.7pt; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; WIDTH: 38.05pt; PADDING-TOP: 0.7pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent;"><p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-ALIGN: center;"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 8pt;"><shapetype id="_x0000_t75" stroked="f" filled="f" path="m@4@5l@4@11@9@11@9@5xe" opreferrelative="t" ospt="75" coordsize="21600,21600"><stroke joinstyle="miter"></stroke><formulas><f eqn="if lineDrawn pixelLineWidth 0"></f><f eqn="sum @0 1 0"></f><f eqn="sum 0 0 @1"></f><f eqn="prod @2 1 2"></f><f eqn="prod @3 21600 pixelWidth"></f><f eqn="prod @3 21600 pixelHeight"></f><f eqn="sum @0 0 1"></f><f eqn="prod @6 1 2"></f><f eqn="prod @7 21600 pixelWidth"></f><f eqn="sum @8 21600 0"></f><f eqn="prod @7 21600 pixelHeight"></f><f eqn="sum @10 21600 0"></f></formulas><path oconnecttype="rect" gradientshapeok="t" oextrusionok="f"></path><lock aspectratio="t" vext="edit"></lock></shapetype><shape id="_x0000_i1025" alt="" type="#_x0000_t75" style="WIDTH: 42.1pt; HEIGHT: 42.1pt;"><imagedata ohref="http://www.licai18.com/photo/blog/expert_25.bmp" src="file:///C:\DOCUME~1\FANGLI~1\LOCALS~1\Temp\msohtml1\01\clip_image001.png"><font face="宋体" size="4"></font></imagedata></shape><p></p></span></p></td></tr><!--Element not supported - Type: 8 Name: #comment--><tr style="mso-yfti-irow: 1; mso-yfti-lastrow: yes;"><td style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; PADDING-RIGHT: 0.7pt; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; PADDING-LEFT: 0.7pt; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0.7pt; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; PADDING-TOP: 0.7pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent;"><p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-ALIGN: center;"><font face="宋体" size="4"><span class="article-subheader"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 8pt;"></span></span></font></p></td></tr></tbody></table></div><p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-ALIGN: center;"><span lang="EN-US" style="DISPLAY: none; FONT-SIZE: 8pt; mso-hide: all;"><p><font face="宋体" size="4"> </font></p></span></p><div align="center"><table class="MsoNormalTable" cellspacing="1" cellpadding="0" width="480" border="0" style="WIDTH: 326.05pt; mso-cellspacing: .7pt; mso-padding-alt: .7pt .7pt .7pt .7pt;"><tbody><tr style="HEIGHT: 5.45pt; mso-yfti-irow: 0; mso-yfti-firstrow: yes;"><td style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; PADDING-RIGHT: 0.7pt; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; PADDING-LEFT: 0.7pt; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0.7pt; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; PADDING-TOP: 0.7pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; HEIGHT: 5.45pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent;"><p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 5pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 8.0pt;"><p><font face="宋体" size="4"> </font></p></span></p></td></tr><tr style="HEIGHT: 2.05pt; mso-yfti-irow: 1;"><td background="/pic/share/line_bg2.jpg" style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; PADDING-RIGHT: 0.7pt; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; PADDING-LEFT: 0.7pt; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0.7pt; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; PADDING-TOP: 0.7pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; HEIGHT: 2.05pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent;"><p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 2pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 8.0pt;"><p><font face="宋体" size="4"> </font></p></span></p></td></tr><tr style="HEIGHT: 5.45pt; mso-yfti-irow: 2;"><td style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; PADDING-RIGHT: 0.7pt; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; PADDING-LEFT: 0.7pt; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0.7pt; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; PADDING-TOP: 0.7pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; HEIGHT: 5.45pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent;"><p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 5pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 8.0pt;"><p><font face="宋体" size="4"></font></p></span></p></td></tr><tr style="HEIGHT: 2.7pt; mso-yfti-irow: 3;"><td style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; PADDING-RIGHT: 0.7pt; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; PADDING-LEFT: 0.7pt; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0.7pt; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; PADDING-TOP: 0.7pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; HEIGHT: 2.7pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent;"><p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 3pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 8.0pt;"><p><font face="宋体" size="4"> </font></p></span></p></td></tr><tr style="mso-yfti-irow: 4; mso-yfti-lastrow: yes;"><td style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; PADDING-RIGHT: 0.7pt; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; PADDING-LEFT: 0.7pt; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0.7pt; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; PADDING-TOP: 0.7pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent;"><table class="MsoNormalTable" id="table40" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="96%" border="0" style="WIDTH: 96%; BORDER-COLLAPSE: collapse; mso-padding-alt: 0cm 0cm 0cm 0cm;"><tbody><tr style="HEIGHT: 2.7pt; mso-yfti-irow: 0; mso-yfti-firstrow: yes;"><td style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; PADDING-RIGHT: 0cm; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; PADDING-LEFT: 0cm; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; HEIGHT: 2.7pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent;"><p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 3pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 8.0pt;"><p><font face="宋体" size="4"> </font></p></span></p></td></tr><tr style="mso-yfti-irow: 1; mso-yfti-lastrow: yes;"><td width="100%" style="BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; PADDING-RIGHT: 0cm; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; PADDING-LEFT: 0cm; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; BORDER-LEFT: #ece9d8; WIDTH: 100%; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent;"><p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 8pt;"><font face="宋体" size="4">因市场预期美联储会进一步降息以限制住房市场衰退造成的损失,周三欧元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>美元创下<span lang="EN-US">1.47</span>新高,英镑<span lang="EN-US">/</span>美元也突破<span lang="EN-US">2.10</span>。</font><font face="宋体"><font size="4"><span lang="EN-US">‑<br/>‑<br/></span>在中国高级官员的评论引发投资者担心中国央行会减少美元外汇储备之后,美元进一步下跌。</font></font><font face="宋体"><font size="4"><span lang="EN-US">‑<br/>‑<br/></span>东京三菱日联银行<span lang="EN-US">(BTM-UFJ)</span>高级货币经济学家<span lang="EN-US">Derek Halpenny</span>表示,来自中国的评论只是抛售美元的借口,真正的原因是美联储可能进一步降息。</font></font><font face="宋体"><font size="4"><span lang="EN-US">‑<br/>‑<br/></span>欧元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>美元急剧上涨,目前已经接近今年的单日最大涨幅,欧洲股市也下跌约<span lang="EN-US">1%</span>。</font></font><font face="宋体"><font size="4"><span lang="EN-US">‑<br/>‑<br/></span>一名中国央行官员表示,美元正在失去世界货币的地位。</font></font><font face="宋体"><font size="4"><span lang="EN-US">‑<br/>‑<br/></span>贝尔斯登<span lang="EN-US">(Bear Stearns)</span>货币经济学家<span lang="EN-US">Steve Barrow</span>指出,目前的情况对美元非常不利。来自中国的评论尽管有所收敛,但足以引发美元下跌。</font></font><font face="宋体"><font size="4"><span lang="EN-US">‑<br/>‑<br/></span>一个月期的欧元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>美元隐含波动率达到自<span lang="EN-US">8</span>月信贷危机高峰以来的最大值,暗示美元的下跌可能趋向于无序状态。</font></font><font face="宋体"><font size="4"><span lang="EN-US">‑<br/>‑<br/></span>北京时间<span lang="EN-US">19:51</span>,欧元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>美元回落至<span lang="EN-US">1.4679</span>,仍比前一日收盘价高<span lang="EN-US">0.9%</span>。之前汇价曾升至<span lang="EN-US">1.4703</span>的历史高点,超过德国马克<span lang="EN-US">/</span>美元的历史高位。</font></font><font face="宋体"><font size="4"><span lang="EN-US">‑<br/>‑<br/></span>市场参与者都在等待欧洲央行主席<span lang="EN-US">(European Central Bank)</span>特里谢<span lang="EN-US">(Jean-Claude Trichet)</span>在周四利率会议后的新闻发布会上对汇率的评论。</font></font><font face="宋体"><font size="4"><span lang="EN-US">‑<br/>‑<br/></span>荷兰国际集团<span lang="EN-US">(ING)</span>在一份研究报告中指出,如果特里谢没有在明天的记者招待会上就欧元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>美元上扬问题发表不满,很可能引发汇价指向<span lang="EN-US">1.50</span>。</font></font><font face="宋体"><font size="4"><span lang="EN-US">‑<br/>‑<br/></span>分析师表示,若美元进一步下跌,关于各国央行会入市干预的预期就会增加。</font></font><font face="宋体"><font size="4"><span lang="EN-US">‑<br/>‑<br/></span>测算美元兑其他一篮子主要货币价值的美元指数触及<span lang="EN-US">75.210</span>的历史低点,自年初以来,该指数已下跌约<span lang="EN-US">10%</span>。</font></font><font face="宋体"><font size="4"><span lang="EN-US">‑<br/>‑<br/></span>美元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>日元也下跌<span lang="EN-US">1.26%</span>,至近两个月来低点<span lang="EN-US">113.27</span>。</font></font><font face="宋体"><font size="4"><span lang="EN-US">‑<br/>‑<br/></span>英镑<span lang="EN-US">/</span>美元创下<span lang="EN-US">26</span>年来新高<span lang="EN-US">2.1053</span>,并持稳于<span lang="EN-US">2.10</span>的标志性关口。<span lang="EN-US">‑ <p></p></span></font></font></span></p></td></tr></tbody></table><p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 14.95pt;"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9.5pt;"><p><font size="4"></font></p></span></p></td></tr></tbody></table></div> |
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